Tuesday 12 November 2019

Next GE will decide if Singapore can sustain a good, stable Govt: PM Lee Hsien Loong at the PAP65 Awards and Convention 2019

Keeping Singaporeans' faith in the PAP
He tells PAP to get ready for tough fight, with next election about Singapore's future
By Royston Sim, Deputy Political Editor, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong yesterday set out what is at stake for the next general election, saying it will decide if Singapore can sustain a good and stable government that can safeguard Singaporeans' lives and well-being.

Addressing 2,500 People's Action Party (PAP) activists at what could be the last major party gathering before the general election, he told them to be prepared for a tough fight.

PM Lee, the PAP's secretary-general, called on activists to continue working hard to convince Singaporeans to give the ruling party the mandate to lead the country again in the upcoming election, which will take place amid an uncertain global environment.

There is a lot to lose if Singapore's politics turn unstable or dysfunctional, he said, adding that the upcoming polls are "not just about the PAP doing a bit better or a bit worse", but whether Singapore can be different from other countries for a long time to come.

"The next election is about the future of Singapore," he said. "Soon, it will be time for battle again."



The general election must be held by April 2021, but is widely expected to be called next year.

PM Lee began his speech by highlighting what the PAP Government has done since the last general election to improve people's lives, from increasing pre-school and tertiary subsidies and rolling out the Merdeka Generation Package to help manage the cost of living, to creating better jobs and improving the public transport network.

He then set out the challenging external environment Singapore has to navigate, and outlined what the party has to do to retain the electorate's trust, from giving people hope for the future to ensuring unity and social cohesion.

Externally, Singapore is likely to come under more pressure from the United States and China to take a side, as tensions between both powers grow, PM Lee noted.

Nearer to home, while relations with Malaysia and Indonesia are good, there remain difficult issues to resolve, he said. These include water with Malaysia and airspace arrangements with both countries.

PM Lee stressed that aside from a capable government, strong domestic support is crucial in managing these external issues. "The unity of Singaporeans is our first line of defence," he said at the PAP convention at the Singapore Expo.

"Others will be watching us closely to see if the PAP wins a strong mandate, especially at a time of leadership transition."



He said the PAP will have to maintain the "deep reservoir of trust" it has with Singaporeans - a compact he said the party had built up by being upfront about unpopular but necessary policies, and delivering what it promised.

He also reiterated the rationale for potential hot-button issues at the next general election, including raising the goods and services tax some time after the election and amendments to the Constitution to ensure the president is from a minority group from time to time.

On changes to the elected presidency, he said minority ethnic groups now have an assurance that their place in Singapore's society will always be safeguarded.

"Overall, from a short-term perspective, this issue is a political minus for the Government, for the PAP," he said. "But this is part of governing. I am convinced that we did the right thing. We must never, ever be afraid to do what is right for Singapore."

Beyond race and religion, the country also has to guard against fault lines like a disconnect between the masses and the elite, he said. The PAP's strength stems from having the people's mandate, he added, urging party activists to always keep in close contact with the people, understand their issues and put their interests first.

He said the PAP has to make sure the system always works for ordinary Singaporeans so that they will embrace it.

Highlighting the party's "symbiotic relationship" with the unions as a key way it stays close to workers, he said the PAP will always serve and represent workers' interests.



PM Lee then stressed that the electorate's trust in the PAP has to be sustained in every generation.

The party's fourth-generation team, led by Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat, has taken shape, he said, adding that it has a very difficult task and deserves full support across the party.

"Back them. They are our team, they are Singapore's team," he said.

The country, he added, needs the best team to take it forward. "That team is the PAP."




















Govt to give details of GST support package in Budget 2020, ahead of tax hike in next term: DPM Heng Swee Keat
GST support package to help all Singaporean households
By Yuen Sin, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

A support package will help cushion the impact of an impending hike in the goods and services tax (GST) from 7 per cent to 9 per cent for all Singaporean households, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat said.

Details will be given in next year's Budget, in February, and more will be given to the lower-income, he added yesterday.

Speaking at the People's Action Party convention, Mr Heng, who is also the Finance Minister, stressed that the package is not an "election goodie" as it will be given only when the GST is raised in the next term of government.



He acknowledged concerns over the hike, given the economic outlook, adding: "We want to assure you that there will be help during the transition, so that Singaporeans need not worry, or be riled up by the opposition who wants to find something to get people to be angry."

Explaining the GST hike, which he announced two years ago, Mr Heng said a responsible government has to ensure enough resources well into the future, such as for healthcare and education needs.



Speaking after Mr Heng, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong noted that very few governments will say before an election that they plan to raise taxes. "We had to do the right and responsible thing: to be upfront with voters, to explain why the GST increase is unavoidable, and to give lots of advance notice," he said.

"We are also making sure the opposition cannot stir this up - you can be sure they will try - by announcing the support package early," he added.















Govt upfront about GST hike - that's integrity, says Heng Swee Keat
It also helps people, businesses to plan ahead; those with less will get more assistance
By Yuen Sin, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

Raising the goods and services tax (GST) rate is an unpopular move, and the Government could have waited for the general election to be over before announcing it. But that would not be the honest thing to do, said Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat.

Speaking at the People's Action Party (PAP) convention at the Singapore Expo yesterday, Mr Heng said many party activists had asked him not to talk about the move any more, as the elections are coming.

"But if I don't bring it up, the opposition parties definitely will - so it's better that you hear it directly from me," he added.

"The responsible thing to do is to be upfront, and tell the people that it will happen. This is what integrity means. We don't hide from difficult truths," he said.

Mr Heng, who is the PAP's first assistant secretary-general, said being upfront also helps people and businesses plan ahead for the hike in GST from 7 per cent to 9 per cent, which will take place some time between 2021 and 2025.

"You have my commitment that we will help Singaporeans cope with the change," he said.

The GST Voucher, a permanent scheme, will be enhanced when the tax rate goes up, he added, saying he will give more details of the GST support package in the coming Budget.

"More will be given to those with less, because this is fair," he said, adding that this is the first time the Government is announcing the GST support package in advance.

He also stressed that the GST support package is not an "election goodie", as it will be given only when the GST is increased during the next term of government.

But the Government is aware that Singaporeans are concerned, given the current economic outlook, with Singapore narrowly avoiding a technical recession last quarter.

"We want to assure you that there will be help during the transition, so that Singaporeans need not worry or be riled up by the opposition who wants to find something to get people to be angry."

He urged activists to help explain this help to Singaporeans, and persuade them that a GST increase is necessary - to better care for seniors as they age and for children to fulfil their potential.

"Like generations before us, we are taking a bit of pain for the good of our children and generations to come," he said.



INVESTING IN SINGAPOREANS

In his speech, Mr Heng outlined various measures that the PAP's fourth-generation leadership team has introduced to continue investing in and supporting Singaporeans, and create new opportunities.

For pre-school education, Social and Family Development Minister Desmond Lee and Second Education Minister Indranee Rajah are ensuring high-quality, affordable and accessible pre-school options.

Education Minister Ong Ye Kung is also implementing changes to the Primary School Leaving Examination scoring system, and introducing subject-based banding in all secondary schools.

In the realm of work, Manpower Minister Josephine Teo is equipping Singaporeans with the skills and confidence to pursue their career aspirations even in the face of setbacks. The retirement and re-employment ages are also being raised.

Meanwhile, Trade and Industry Minister Chan Chun Sing is driving Singapore's industry transformation and economic restructuring efforts, while labour chief Ng Chee Meng is supporting workers on this journey. Communications and Information Minister S. Iswaran is looking at how Singapore can harness digital technology.

And to keep Singapore vibrant, connected and liveable, National Development Minister Lawrence Wong is developing new areas for work and play such as the Greater Southern Waterfront, while Minister-in-charge of the Smart Nation Initiative Vivian Balakrishnan is finding new ways for technology to transform the city. Environment and Water Resources Minister Masagos Zulkifli has embarked on zero-waste efforts and is promoting urban farming and renewable energy.

Said Mr Heng: "By investing in our people, growing our economy and rejuvenating our city, we bring new opportunities for our people to improve their lives."

STRENGTHENING SOCIAL SAFETY NETS

But with changes and disruptions taking place so quickly, not everyone is able to keep pace. "The PAP will not leave anyone behind," Mr Heng said to applause.

He noted that in the last few years, social safety nets have been strengthened, with income ceilings for Build-To-Order flats raised and housing grants enhanced.

The Pioneer Generation Package, Merdeka Generation Package and Silver Support have been introduced. The Community Health Assist Scheme and Workfare have also been enhanced.

"Our commitment to Singaporeans is that even as we create new opportunities, we will tackle inequality, so that no one will be shut out of opportunities, or left behind by progress," Mr Heng said.

"As long as you are willing and able to work hard, we will support you to make a better life for yourself and your family. This has been the PAP's promise to each generation."

The party also has a duty to future generations, he added, saying this is why, as a responsible government, it has to make sure there are enough resources to carry out its plans for Singaporeans long into the future.










4G leaders will uphold high standards of trust, put Singaporeans front and centre: DPM Heng Swee Keat

By Grace Ho, Senior Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

The fourth-generation (4G) leadership of the People's Action Party (PAP) Government will always uphold and defend the high standards of trust and integrity that have underpinned Singapore's success and put partnerships with Singaporeans "front and centre", said Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat.

Speaking at the PAP65 Awards and Convention at the Singapore Expo yesterday, Mr Heng, the party's first assistant secretary-general, said trust and integrity were why he moved a motion in Parliament on the governance of the Workers' Party-run Aljunied-Hougang Town Council (AHTC) last Tuesday.

Parliament had voted for the motion that called on WP MPs Sylvia Lim and Low Thia Khiang to recuse themselves from all financial matters at AHTC, after the High Court last month found the two opposition leaders had acted dishonestly in awarding, without a tender, a managing agent contract to a company set up by their supporters after winning Aljunied GRC in the 2011 General Election.

Mr Heng acknowledged that some supporters felt the leadership should not move this motion as it could be misunderstood. But the leadership was convinced it would be wrong to keep silent, he said at the gathering of key party activists.



Explaining the move, he told the 2,500 party activists in the audience: "The issues were very serious. They called into question the integrity of elected officials.

"As the party in power, it is our responsibility to ensure the integrity of the system in Singapore. We must and have taken a clear stand on this matter of principle. As PAP activists, the motion should also be a solemn reminder that we set an even higher bar for ourselves, and Singaporeans will expect no less."

Mr Heng said the PAP had kept Singaporeans united through times of difficulty, such as the 1997 and 2008 financial crises, because it had rallied people around a clear set of values: leading with integrity, upholding Singapore's multicultural identity, building a meritocratic society and preserving a spirit of self-reliance.

Touching on the convention's theme of Advancing Singapore Together, Mr Heng said the 4G leaders cannot build Singapore's future alone, but Singaporeans have to trust them and work with them.

The trust and partnership of Singaporeans will not come easy, he noted, saying there will be those without constructive ideas whose aim is to rile people up, create mistrust "and mislead them into making the wrong choices".

This was the case in 2011 when many of the 4G leadership entered politics and the PAP lost Aljunied GRC in the election, he said. "There was anger on the ground. The political mood remained tense, even months after the election," he said. "As one of the new PAP MPs learning the ropes, we knew that we had to win back the trust of our people."

Following this was years of hard work, Mr Heng said, starting with Our Singapore Conversation in 2012. The year-long exercise saw over 600 dialogues with almost 50,000 Singaporeans from a wide cross-section of society.

"We listened to Singaporeans from all walks of life, and listened to their views and concerns, hopes and dreams for Singapore," he said.

This baptism of fire deeply shaped his and his 4G colleagues' views of politics, added Mr Heng.

The passion, creativity and can-do spirit of Singaporeans up close also strengthened his conviction that the nation's future depends on the people and the Government working even closer than before.

"Our experience shaped our approach to leadership. We want to put partnership with Singaporeans front and centre.

"Instead of just working for our people, we want to work with our people. Working with you, for you - this is our commitment to Singaporeans," he said, reiterating his message of partnership when he launched the Singapore Together movement in June.

Concrete examples of this include the Youth Action Plan to empower youth to make their ideas and vision for Singapore a reality, the Citizens' Panel on Work-Life Harmony, and the Recycle Right Citizens' Workgroup to co-create solutions to different problems.

He and his team will also conduct several engagements over the next few months to prepare for next year's Budget, Mr Heng added.

Exhorting the audience to be active agents of change as members of a "party of action", he sought their support to win the trust of the people and secure a decisive mandate at the next general election, and to expand a democracy of deeds.

Noting that this could be the last major party gathering before the election, he said Singaporeans will judge their leaders not simply by what they say during the campaign period, but what they have done over the last five years - and the party's legacy over the last 65 years.

Citing a Chinese saying used by PAP activist Alex Yeo, Mr Heng said it is only after a long journey that one knows the strength of a horse. "It is only after a long time that we know a person's heart, convictions and values.

"Our track record is clear for all to see. This is what the PAP's mission is about - progress, fairness and justice... We have always done what is right by Singaporeans, for Singaporeans. The 4G will do the same."















Strong mandate for leaders critical as Singapore faces external challenges: PM Lee Hsien Loong
Next general election is a high-stakes one - it has to secure nation for the long term
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

Singapore's political leaders will need the full backing of the people for the country to stay on a strong footing, as they manage an increasingly uncertain external environment, said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong yesterday.

This is why the next general election is so critical, he said in a speech at the People's Action Party (PAP) convention at the Singapore Expo.

"It is high stakes, not masak-masak," he added, using the Malay phrase to describe children playing house. "Others will be watching us closely to see if the PAP wins a strong mandate, especially at a time of leadership transition.

"We must convince Singaporeans to give us a strong mandate. Not just to return a PAP government, but also to secure Singapore for the long term."

PM Lee, who is the PAP's secretary-general, highlighted issues such as tensions between China and the United States, bilateral relations with Singapore's closest neighbours, and the erosion of trust in political leaders all over the world.



At present, neither the US nor China has pressed Singapore very hard to side with them. But PM Lee said he expects the pressure to increase as tensions between both powers grow - especially on issues that matter dearly to them.

He noted that Singapore has its own "principled position" on issues that do not always align with either country's interests.

"From time to time, we will have to do or say something that one or the other of them will frown upon. Then we just have to steel ourselves and do it, and be prepared for the reaction."

Doing so is the only way to preserve Singapore's credibility and independence, he added.



Closer to home, PM Lee said relations with Malaysia and Indonesia are good. But he cautioned that difficult issues involving important national interests lie beneath the surface.

For Malaysia, these are water and airspace arrangements, while with Indonesia they involve issues of airspace and Singapore's military training in the South China Sea.

Rather than politicising the issue or clashing with its neighbours, Singapore's approach is to discuss matters calmly, "government-to-government, behind closed doors", to find a win-win situation that secures the country's long-term interests, he said.

"Managing these external issues will not be easy. We will need a capable government," PM Lee said. "Leaders who are tactful but firm, who can negotiate skilfully to defuse bilateral issues, and who are confident that they have the full backing of the people."

Strong domestic support is crucial in conducting foreign policy, he stressed. "The unity of Singaporeans is our first line of defence."

PM Lee pointed out that in places such as Chile and Hong Kong, politics has broken down and trust in leaders has eroded.

Chile abruptly cancelled the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, which PM Lee was to have attended later this week, after violent protests broke out over issues such as public transport fares, healthcare, education and pensions.

In Hong Kong, demonstrations and riots have been ongoing for months - not just over unhappiness with the government there but also over social and economic problems.

Singapore has had quite a different experience, PM Lee said, adding: "The PAP is humbled to enjoy the people's trust."

But he stressed that the country is not immune to these global pressures, which can overwhelm it. "And if it happens to us, the consequences will be worse than for other countries, may even be irreparable, because we are so small and so vulnerable," he said.















Reserved presidency a political minus but it was right thing to do: PM Lee Hsien Loong
By Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

Reserving the elected presidency for minority candidates from time to time will have a political cost in the short term, but the move was a necessary safeguard for the country's long-term good, said Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong.

He told People's Action Party (PAP) activists yesterday that he decided this fundamental change had to be made, even though he knew not all Singaporeans agreed with it.

"Overall, from a short-term perspective, this issue is a political minus for the Government, for the PAP. But this is part of governing," he said at the PAP convention held at the Singapore Expo.

"I am convinced that we did the right thing. We must never, ever be afraid to do what is right for Singapore," he stressed.

The PAP secretary-general was referring to public unhappiness over the constitutional amendments passed in November 2016, to reserve the elected presidency for candidates of a particular racial group if there had not been a president from that group for the five most recent presidential terms.

Critics said the decision went against Singapore's meritocratic values, and hundreds protested in Hong Lim Park days after the first election, reserved for Malays, saw Madam Halimah Yacob sworn in as President on Sept 14, 2017.



PM Lee cited the issue as an example of how Singapore is proactively strengthening the institutions that support its multiracial and multi-religious society.

It is harder for a non-Chinese candidate to be elected president through a national vote, Mr Lee noted.

"How would the minorities feel if year after year, the president of Singapore were almost always Chinese? In the long term, such a scenario would foment deep unhappiness and erode the founding values of our nation," he said.

PM Lee said he thus took the "major step" of amending the Constitution after discussing with ministers and thinking it over carefully.

The move gives minority ethnic groups an assurance that their place in society will always be safeguarded, he said, just like how the group representation constituency (GRC) system - which guarantees at least one candidate per GRC is from a minority race - ensures there will always be MPs from minority races in Parliament.
















Disconnect with masses seen elsewhere shouldn't take root in Singapore: PM Lee Hsien Loong
By Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

The People's Action Party (PAP) must not let the disconnect between the masses and the elite seen in other countries take root in Singapore, said its secretary-general, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong.

"The PAP must always remain the party of the people," he said at the party's convention yesterday, warning of the need to guard against dangerous societal rifts beyond race and religion.

"Every party member - you may be a leader, you may be an ordinary member - you must identify with the people, we must serve the people," he said, adding that government policies have to emphasise the people's needs and deliver results.

PM Lee noted that in other societies, the masses no longer trust the elites. Traditional parties have become feeble, and even socialist parties, supposed to care for the common man, have lost their base.

This has led to the rise of populist movements that "explicitly want to upend the system, turn things upside down", while not necessarily being able to offer anything better, he said.



Citing the example of the United States, PM Lee described how the Democratic Party lost the white working class that used to be its core supporters to President Donald Trump. This split between the masses and the elite cannot take root in Singapore, he stressed.

"We must make sure that our system always works for ordinary Singaporeans, so that they will embrace it as their system."

He pointed to efforts such as strengthening social safety nets for the vulnerable and rolling out the Pioneer and Merdeka generation packages to help older people with their healthcare costs.

In his speech, PM Lee also stressed two other things the PAP had to do, apart from ensuring unity and social cohesion, to prevent Singapore from falling prey to global pressures that have divided societies elsewhere: maintain trust, and give Singaporeans hope for the future.

MAINTAINING TRUST

On trust, PM Lee highlighted three reasons behind the "deep reservoir of trust" the PAP has built with Singaporeans, which it should continue to maintain.

First, it upholds high standards of honesty and integrity, not only at the national level - the PM, ministers and MPs - but also among party members on the ground, including branch activists and town councillors.

Whether it is putting together the Government's Budget, awarding a town council contract, or looking after branch funds, it should be done on behalf of the people, said PM Lee.

"It is the people's resources, you are looking after it, you must do it honestly and in the interest of the people," he added.

Second, the PAP builds trust by being frank about difficult or unpopular decisions. "When there are difficulties, we do not gloss over them or sugar-coat the reality," he said.

"Even if the decision is unpopular, we work very hard to persuade people that this is something we have to do together."

Finally, trust is also built by delivering on promises, said PM Lee, adding that the Government's policies have made Singaporeans' lives better in concrete, visible ways.

He pointed to how the Government is providing and continually improving on high-quality and affordable necessities such as healthcare, education, housing and transport. "Unlike other political parties, we cannot afford to woo voters with empty words, because we do not want them to come back to haunt us," he said.

GIVING PEOPLE HOPE

The other thing the party must do is to give people hope for the future, and this can be done in three ways, said Mr Lee.

The first is to create opportunities for Singaporeans to take part in the country's growth, he said.

This is why the Government has invested heavily in good education at all levels, including the pre-school and tertiary levels, and emphasised expanding and upgrading the economy to create good jobs for young people.

He also highlighted the SkillsFuture programme, which gives workers skills to take on new jobs and stay employable.

"All these enable Singaporeans to participate fully in our growth and success, and leave no one behind to walk alone," he said.

The second way is to conceive and deliver on "bold plans" for Singapore's future, while the third is to tackle future problems vigorously.

PM Lee listed plans that have been completed, like Jewel at Changi Airport. He also pointed to plans in the pipeline such as the Greater Southern Waterfront and Changi Terminal 5, as well as how the Government is preparing to tackle rising sea levels caused by climate change.

"We will never reach the limit of what we can do in Singapore," he said. "The only constraint is our imagination and daring. Every new generation will have the opportunity to shape Singapore to what it dreams, to what it imagines can be."





PAP convention: Top party honours for Ong Pang Boon
By Linette Lai, Political Correspondent, The Straits Times, 11 Nov 2019

Former Cabinet minister Ong Pang Boon, 90, received the People's Action Party's highest honour - the Distinguished Service Medal - for his contributions to Singapore and his years of service to the party. The award was presented to him by Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong at the PAP65 Awards and Convention yesterday. Also on stage at the award ceremony was PAP chairman Gan Kim Yong.



Yesterday's event at the Singapore Expo marked the party's 65th anniversary since it was founded on Nov 21, 1954. Mr Ong is the last surviving member of the first-generation Cabinet.

He was the PAP's first organising secretary and played a crucial role bridging the non-communist and mostly English-educated PAP leaders with the Chinese-speaking masses who formed the majority of voters from the 1955 elections.




Mr Ong was also instrumental in ensuring that communism and the influence of secret societies did not take root among members, the party said in a citation.


Mr Ong has helmed several ministries, including home affairs, education, labour and environment. A total of 402 PAP activists received awards this year.













Domestic issues will be at the top of voters' minds in Singapore GE: Observers
Political transition as well as bread-and-butter issues like cost of living set to be key concerns
By Rei Kurohi and Tee Zhuo, The Straits Times, 12 Nov 2019

Domestic issues like the cost of living and the political transition to the fourth-generation (4G) leadership will be at the top of Singaporeans' minds when they head to the ballot box, political watchers say.

They expect these issues to rank above concerns about the external environment, unless the impact of those foreign issues is clear to the voters.

At the People's Action Party (PAP) convention on Sunday, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong called the next general election a critical one involving "high stakes" for the future of Singapore.

"This election is not just about the PAP doing a bit better or a bit worse. This election will decide if Singapore can sustain good and stable government," PM Lee, the PAP's secretary-general, told 2,500 party activists at the Singapore Expo.



Observers noted that the ruling party has consistently stressed the need for a strong and stable government in uncertain times. Political observer and former Nominated MP Zulkifli Baharudin said Singapore does face certain "permanent vulnerabilities" that require its leaders to make tough decisions.

"The challenge for the PAP is to frame the issues in a way that cuts across different demographics and persuade voters to give them a strong mandate to make these decisions," he said.

National University of Singapore (NUS) political science associate professor Bilveer Singh said the issue of Singapore's future becomes important if there are clear issues and possible crises facing the Republic.

He cited the intensifying rivalry between the United States and China, which PM Lee spoke about.

Dr Felix Tan, an associate lecturer at SIM Global Education, agreed. But he said flagging such fears could risk being seen as scare-mongering by some voters.

Similarly, Mr Leonard Lim, Singapore country director at political consultancy Vriens & Partners, said while continuity and stability "may have more traction with older voters, it may not be as effective on the young who were already born into an affluent Singapore".



Most experts agreed with PM Lee's remarks that the 4G team has a difficult task ahead, given the many pressing external challenges that Singapore is likely to face.

PM Lee had also said on Sunday: "Others will be watching us closely to see if the PAP wins a strong mandate, especially at a time of leadership transition."

Observers noted that the issue of political succession will be on voters' minds. Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat, tipped to be the future PM, has had a relatively short runway in politics and to establish his leadership, Mr Lim noted.

Dr Mustafa Izzuddin, a research fellow at the NUS Institute of South Asian Studies, argued that while it would be a setback for the PAP if its 4G leaders did not get a strong mandate in the coming GE, they would still be able to govern Singapore. But they would have to redouble their efforts to establish themselves in subsequent elections.

Above all, bread-and-butter issues like the cost of living and how well the Government has addressed them will continue to dominate concerns at the ballot box, experts said. Singaporeans, as Mr Zulkifli put it, "vote with their stomachs".

Mr Lim similarly said that for the majority of Singaporeans, it is about whether the train can come on time, or if their Housing Board flats are affordable.

"They will care about education, healthcare, housing and so on. The majority don't bother as much with the geopolitical issues," he said.



The impending goods and services tax (GST) hike is one such issue voters will be concerned about, observers say.

DPM Heng said on Sunday that he was flagging the issue despite some party activists urging him not to talk about it given the coming elections.

"The responsible thing to do is to be upfront, and tell the people that it will happen. This is what integrity means. We don't hide from difficult truths," said Mr Heng, who added that details of a GST support package for all Singaporean households - with more help for the lower-income - would be announced in next year's Budget.

Prof Singh echoed the worries raised by party activists, and questioned the move to talk about the GST hike prior to the GE.

He noted that voters would be watching to see if the PAP makes any moves that hurt their pockets, "especially at a time when the mood is not positive and where people are worried about their future in view of rising costs".

Mr Zulkifli acknowledged that many people will be unhappy with the GST increase. But, he said: "At the end of the day, it is about choosing the right government. There is a danger if people start to go to elections to express dissatisfaction over certain policies."

Observers also noted that unhappiness over issues like the move to amend the Constitution so that minorities can be president from time to time, and whether or not the opposition has been treated fairly in general, are issues that could affect some voters.

As PM Lee noted, the PAP was well aware of the political cost of the decision to have reserved elections, calling it a "political minus".

But he also added: "This is part of governing. I am convinced that we did the right thing. We must never, ever be afraid to do what is right for Singapore."















When will the Singapore general election be called? It could be soon after Budget
By Tee Zhuo and Rei Kurohi, The Straits Times, 12 Nov 2019

A clear signal that the general election will be over by this time next year was given by Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong in his speech to 2,500 People's Action Party (PAP) activists on Sunday.

PM Lee, who is PAP secretary-general, told the PAP convention it could "well be the last time we meet, before the next general election". He said: "You have been working the ground for more than four years now, in some cases for more than half a century. Soon it will be time for battle again."

The next general election must be held by April 2021, at the latest. But PM Lee noted that it could be earlier.

Political observers who spoke to The Straits Times in recent months had said that December and the April to May periods were the most likely windows for a poll.

DECEMBER

But with the year drawing to a close and school holidays approaching, December is looking less and less likely.

The formation of the Electoral Boundaries Review Committee (EBRC) on Aug 1 was a clear indicator that the polls are near.

But there are several more steps before the election can be called, including the release of the electoral boundaries report.

In the past three general elections under PM Lee - in 2006, 2011 and 2015 - the time between the announcement of the EBRC's formation and Polling Day has ranged between two months and six months.

JANUARY 2020

Given this precedent, the period before Chinese New Year festivities, which start on Jan 25 next year, is another potential window.

Factors observers cite in favour of this period: The opposition may be less prepared, and given the worsening economy, it may be wiser to call the election as early as possible to avoid the fallout from rising unemployment. But this ignores the elephant in the room: the Budget, which is usually delivered in mid-February. This year's Budget statement was on Feb 18.

LATE FEBRUARY TO MARCH

The Budget gives the Government a chance to announce measures to address worries on the ground and ameliorate cost-of-living issues.

Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Heng Swee Keat said at the PAP convention that the Government will give details of its goods and services tax support package in Budget 2020, ahead of a tax hike some time after the general election.

Said Dr Felix Tan of SIM Global Education: "This reinforces in the minds of Singaporeans that they can expect something in the upcoming Budget."

Parliament has to wait a week from the Budget speech before its annual marathon sitting to debate the Budget over two weeks.

Time is then needed for presidential approval. This year, President Halimah Yacob gave her assent to the Supply Bill on March 13, days after it was passed in Parliament.

If that is the case next year, a general election could be called soon after that.

APRIL OR MAY

Considering the time needed for the measures from the Budget to sink in and benefit voters, April is a likely election window. Both the 2006 and 2011 elections were called soon after the Budget, in May.

But one consideration could be avoiding major religious occasions.

The window for election in April is limited, as Good Friday falls on April 10 and polling is unlikely to take place that weekend.

But observers say it is also unlikely that the election will be called in May. The Muslim fasting month of Ramadan begins on April 24, with Hari Raya Puasa on May 24.











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